The president’s chances increasingly rely on the possibility that the polls are misfiring.
Polls
“Will this be the thing that causes his voters to abandon him? How much will this hurt his numbers?” are…
I’m having the strongest sense of déjà vu. In 2012, I was a Republican partisan. This was when I was…
He has underperformed the polls in each of the first three contests.
Recent general-election polling has generally shown Donald Trump maintaining a slight lead over President Biden. Yet many of those polls…
Almost all the polling shows the same pattern. Could the coming campaign restore Democrats’ usual advantage?
A poll can be very close to the actual result but miss the key story line. We’ll try new question…
Genevieve Glatsky, a reporter for the Andes bureau, discussed the assassination of Fernando Villavicencio, a presidential candidate who exposed governmental…
Trying to learn from a strong midterm run as we start surveying the G.O.P. primary.
In the so-called invisible primary, there’s often a clear relationship between early polling and the eventual outcome.
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